Market Updates

Seattle Home Sales Down 9% While San Francisco Surges 9% — What It Means for Buyers

Two West Coast tech hubs are diverging sharply. Seattle home sales fell 9% year-over-year in July while San Francisco saw a 9% increase. Both markets share high prices and tech employment, but their trajectories are splitting.

Seattle and San Francisco have always been compared — both are West Coast tech hubs with limited housing supply, high-paying employers, and some of the highest home prices in the country. But right now, they are heading in opposite directions.

As Rob Luecke Jr wrote on r/Seattle (29 upvotes, 11K views): "Home sales in Seattle fell roughly 9% year over year in July, while San Francisco saw sales increase about 9% over the same period."

The Divergence

Seattle’s housing market is showing clear signs of cooling. Sales volume is down, inventory is rising, and buyer urgency has softened. Meanwhile, San Francisco — which was written off by many during the remote work exodus — is rebounding. Sales are up, confidence is returning, and prices in key neighborhoods have stabilized.

The interesting question is why. Both markets share the same macro conditions: elevated mortgage rates, tech industry layoffs and AI restructuring, and return-to-office mandates. Yet one is slowing while the other accelerates.

For buyers, a cooling market isn’t bad news — it’s opportunity. When sales volume drops, so does competition. Sellers become more negotiable. And in a market like Seattle where the median home is around $850K, every percentage point of savings matters.

What This Means for Your Wallet

In a traditional Seattle transaction, a buyer pays their agent 2.5% — that’s $21,250 on an $850K home. With ShopProp, you pay a flat fee of $1,995 and get the rest back as a rebate: up to $19,255 at closing.

In San Francisco at the median of $1.4M, the math is even more dramatic. Traditional 2.5% = $35,000. ShopProp flat fee = $1,995. Rebate = up to $33,005.

Whether you’re buying in a cooling Seattle market or a surging San Francisco market, paying less for the same representation makes sense.

Real ShopProp Closing in Seattle

712 17th Ave E, Seattle - Sold by ShopProp
SOLD

712 17th Ave E, Seattle, WA — $2,125,000

ShopProp fee: $7,995

Traditional 2.5%: $53,125

Client saved: $45,130

View property details on ShopProp →

Real ShopProp Closing in San Francisco

584 Douglass St, San Francisco - Sold by ShopProp
SOLD

584 Douglass St, San Francisco, CA — $1,240,000

ShopProp fee: $3,995

Traditional 2.5%: $31,000

Client saved: $27,005

View property details on ShopProp →

As featured in

NPR · USA Today · New York Post · Brookings Institution · Mercury News · MarketWatch · Reddit r/BayAreaRealEstate

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Source: PublicNow / EBS. As featured in NPR, USA Today, New York Post, and Brookings Institution.